bitcoin

The Bitcoin Tide is Turning

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Bitcoin market conditions change amid whale buying, short squeeze, and bullish news developments Quick take; Bitcoin market conditions are changing as whales purchase below $30k and a huge short squeeze follows Positive news is beginning to have a greater impact on upside price movements, indicating that Bitcoin is entering more bullish market conditions There is still significant hurdles to be overcome if Bitcoin is to reclaim record highs but the… Read More »The Bitcoin Tide is Turning

Bitcoin Bull Versus Bear Case

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Analyzing Bitcoin market conditions amid a lengthy period of consolidation Quick take; Bitcoin medium-term downtrend takes a hiatus as strong liquidity lies at both ends of current range Arguments can be made for both a bullish case and bearish case in Bitcoin On-chain analysis, strong buyer liquidity, and funding rates have shown some bullish signs On the other hand, the trend is still downward and price has some significant hurdles… Read More »Bitcoin Bull Versus Bear Case

Still Bearish…

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Bullish Bitcoin social media blabber ungrounded in data. Disclaimer: Nothing in this piece is financial advice. It is strictly educational information. Take responsibility for your own financial decisions. We work with top-5 derivatives exchange ByBit as affiliate partners. Use our link and get up to $1,000 as a signing bonus. Crypto Twitter has recently been inundated with rally cries insinuating to Bitcoiners that they would be outright foolish to sell some… Read More »Still Bearish…

Wall Street market cycle chart

Bitcoin Market Cycle Current Stage

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Should you buy the dip or sell the denial? Quick take; Despite bullish developments, the bearish medium-term market dynamics persist Investors appear to be in a state of denial with widespread proclamations of HODL Anticipating further downside movements before bullish market dynamics return Disclaimer: Nothing in this piece is financial advice. It is strictly educational information. Take responsibility for your own financial decisions. We work with top-5 derivatives exchange ByBit… Read More »Bitcoin Market Cycle Current Stage

Fuel for Bitcoin Price Rises

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Analysing a Paradigm-Shifting Price Rise in the Bitcoin Market Disclaimer: I have long exposure to Bitcoin. Since Bitcoin’s rise above $10.5k, I have also been taking leveraged long positions in the BTC derivatives market. Nothing in this newsletter is financial advice. Read the full disclaimer here. Update Oct 9th: My leveraged long position was fortunately exited with a decent gain as I got the feeling that market conditions were changing.… Read More »Fuel for Bitcoin Price Rises

Bitcoin & Inflation – Why BTC May Get Weaker Before Getting Stronger

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Update: As this crisis progresses, my views on this subject have changed. Strong arguments can be made that this crisis will extremely deflationary in nature for the US economy. Given that the USD is the world reserve currency, there is a significant shortage of dollars. Everybody worldwide is chasing these dollars the dollar-denominated debt which vastly outsizes the amount of dollars in circulation. This gives the US the liberty to… Read More »Bitcoin & Inflation – Why BTC May Get Weaker Before Getting Stronger

March 2020 BTC Analysis – Coronavirus Catalyzes Global Economic Crisis

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BTC Price Tanks As World Rushes For Liquidity Amid Global Economic Crisis Disclaimer: The information presented does not represent financial or investment advice. You are responsible for your own financial decisions. Read the full disclaimer here. Subscribe here for updates. Analysts have been forecasting a global economic crisis for several years. Extraordinarily high valuations in almost all asset classes, extreme debt-to-GDP levels, experimentative monetary policy, a yield curve inversion, and NIRP… Read More »March 2020 BTC Analysis – Coronavirus Catalyzes Global Economic Crisis

Foundational Market Analysis Concepts

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Core Concepts I Have Found Valuable After Years of Market Analysis Disclaimer: The information presented does not represent financial or investment advice. You are responsible for your own financial decisions. Read the full disclaimer here. Subscribe here for updates. Earlier this month, I announced that I will experiment with releasing a monthly newsletter reporting on market movements. Personally, I have been involved in the markets since leaving college, spending a… Read More »Foundational Market Analysis Concepts

How will Bitcoin Behave if the Global Economy Erupts?

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Economic conditions become increasingly turbulent after a decade of stimulative monetary policy & negative interest rate policies. A forward-looking indicator which has preceded every recession since the 1950s has recently signalled that a recession is in store. The limited evidence we have suggests Bitcoin has little downside risk in the event of an economic crisis. Important Disclaimer: Nothing here should be constituted as financial advice. It also should be noted that… Read More »How will Bitcoin Behave if the Global Economy Erupts?

The Nature of Cryptocurrency Markets

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An analysis of three trend-based strategies Quick take; Emerging markets are more speculative and trend-driven in nature given the absence of robust frameworks to value them As markets mature, prices become increasingly driven by fundamentals-based models A number of trend-based strategies based on past data have managed to outperform bitcoin long and hold positions In light of recent price increases and “when moon?” midnight messages, it is worthwhile doing a… Read More »The Nature of Cryptocurrency Markets